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Kentucky Derby Predictions & Betting Picks

June 16, 2008

Although long shots show the best value and will be worth taking with your place and show bets, the winner of the 2007 Kentucky Derby will be one of the favorites. To make sure you’re on the right one, check out Dave Price’s Kentucky Derby predictions.

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If you’re all set to place your win bet on Nobiz Like Shobiz, Street Sense, or Hard Spun, you’ll just be throwing away your money. You have to remember that the Derby isn’t about the fastest horse, it’s about the horse with the most endurance and strength to perform on a big track with lots of bumping.

Street Sense will more than likely be a popular win bet placed on the first Saturday in May because of his success at the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and his win over Any Given Saturday setting a track record in Tampa. Yes, Street Sense is fast, but he has never gone up against a field this competitive and you will find that he shies away from the physicality on the track.

Nobiz Like Shobiz may win an award for best name at the Derby, but not for winning the race. His success will have many bettors calling his name Saturday, but we should look at his third place finish at the Fountain of Youth as a sign of things to come for this event when too much bumping was the reason sited for his disappointing performance. Again, this physical race sours us on Nobiz.

Hard Spun can be hard to catch, but his inconsistencies are enough reason to stay away from this horse. Endurance and desire have been big questions surrounding Spun and with this being a long race, we just can’t count on him to cash our tickets.

If you have been taking looks at Stormello, Cobalt Blue, Zanjero, Sam P, and Any Given Saturday, you are looking in the right direction. Of the Favorites, Any Given Saturday shows the best promise as a horse capable of winning the 2007 Kentucky Derby. This prize pony has three first place finishes, a pair of seconds, and a third to show you the kind of consistency you are getting when betting on this horse. The factor that sets him apart is his distinguished trainer Todd Pletcher who has been honored as the top trainer three years in a row. To make a long story short, our 2007 Kentucky Derby predictions center around Any Given Saturday getting the job done on May 5th. Get ready to cash in those win bets and exotics!

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