Free NBA Pick for January 29, 2010

January 29, 2010

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Priceless Free Pick for Friday

NBA

1 Unit on New Orleans Hornets -4

It’s been a good run by the Bulls, winning 4 straight on the road, but I fully expect it to come to an end tonight against a Hornets team that is 16-4 at home on the season and playing great basketball.  The Hornets have quietly won 12 of their last 16 games and they will be especially hungry to end a 3-game losing streak to the Bulls tonight.  To me this says it all: plays against road underdogs, an average defensive team (allowing 43.5-45.5% shooting), against a poor defensive team (allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting) after 42+ games, and after 5 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less, are 23-5 ATS the last 5 seasons.  In other words, odds makers have made the Bulls this big of a dog for a reason tonight.  Lay the points.

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